Decisions that we make are based on a fallacy of people being “rational”. The reality is altogether vastly different where an estimated 98% of all managers don’t make decisions! Making decisions under […]
Behaviour the missing link in Causality
Intractable and Wicked Problems are coming for you and there is no escape
Intractable and Wicked Problems are coming for you and there is no escape. Look around us and see what the “heuristics” tell us. Computation Irreducibility – Mathematical & Computing unable to provided […]
Risk ≠ Uncertainty – Why all people, companies & governments are losing value faster in the era of VUCA
BLUF (Bottom Line Upfront) – A whole new approach is necessary in theory and practise and in my opinion, what we are working on is based on #heuristics and #evolutionary thinking (Heuristic Computing […]
Heuristic Intelligence & Evolutionary Intelligence & Computing will be the next AI?
I was recently asked a question by my mentor saying, “there’s a lot of hype on what AI/ML/Deep learning can do and will do. I have two simple questions. What are these […]
#PredictablyIrrational Investors!!!
I write this update after a while because my quant model based on fundamentals and #PredictablyIrrational behaviours has analytics to prove the contrary on investing, where over 99% of fund managers continue […]
Why I’ve said Apple all along and Warren Buffet agrees with $18B!
Over the years I’ve presented why APPL was a terrific company to invest in using a model called a profit pool analysis. Upstream IP (Design) Midstream (outsourced to China) Downstream (Business model […]
Box scale is the new Big (1 Trillion times)!
Every company that was built around supplychain scale. How much MOQ & EOQ do we need to create economies of scale. How many trucks. How many pallets. This created a $700B logistics […]
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